TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This group centers around the NHL game between the St. Louis Blues and the Dallas Stars, scheduled for September 21st. Markets cover both the winner of the game and the total number of goals scored. Resolution depends on the official final score, including overtime and shootouts, with specific handling for postponements or cancellations.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the Stars win, the market will resolve to "Stars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
The event resolves based on the official result of the NHL game between St. Louis and Dallas scheduled for September 21, 2026. If Dallas wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, while if St. Louis wins, its market resolves to Yes. In the event of a tie, all markets resolve at 50c. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the Stars win, the market will resolve to "Stars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets are driven by the wisdom of the crowd. This means prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there's significant public information available. The efficiency of this market reflects the collective knowledge of participants, potentially identifying mispricings not captured by conventional oddsmakers.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing valuations. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence the price. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Predict can contribute to price discrepancies, even when reflecting the same underlying event.