TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team from the five lowest-seeded teams reaches the playoffs (the top-8 LAN Finals bracket) at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." The "five lowest-seeded teams" are the five teams with the lowest seeding as published by the tournament organizer at the start of the event. A team from this group "reaches the playoffs" if it advances from the group/qualifying stage into the top-8 playoff bracket (LAN Finals). If any one or more of these five teams reaches the playoffs, this market resolves "Yes." If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that the playoff qualifiers are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team from the five lowest-seeded teams reaches the playoffs (the top-8 LAN Finals bracket) at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." The "five lowest-seeded teams" are the five teams with the lowest seeding as published by the tournament organizer at the start of the event. A team from this group "reaches the playoffs" if it advances from the group/qualifying stage into the top-8 playoff bracket (LAN Finals). If any one or more of these five teams reaches the playoffs, this market resolves "Yes." If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that the playoff qualifiers are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market aggregates thousands of independent forecasts, which can sometimes surface insights that sportsbooks have not yet fully priced in, particularly for niche esports outcomes where public betting volume is lower.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the collective willingness of traders to buy or sell shares tied to a bottom-five seed reaching the LAN event. As new match results and playoff scenarios unfold, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down to reflect changing expectations about qualification odds.
Key catalysts include playoff match results that alter seeding projections, unexpected team roster changes or player substitutions, and official announcements about the tournament format or qualification rules. Strong performances by lower-seeded teams or upsets in earlier rounds can shift trader sentiment significantly. Injury reports, coaching changes, and community sentiment shifts on social media may also influence how traders price the probability of a bottom-five seed breaking through to the LAN finals.