TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 2:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Kaden Honeycutt will win the NASCAR Truck Series Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway on Kalshi, with the current probability set at 86.0%, while Corey Heim has a 7.0% chance of winning. The resolution source is the final race results from the main event. Watch for the race finish on August 15, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.
If Mini Tyrrell finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andres Perez De Lara finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Smith finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kaden Honeycutt finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Leitz finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elliott Sadler finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Spencer Boyd finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christopher Bell finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Haley finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grant Enfinger finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Giovanni Ruggiero finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frankie Muniz finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Layne Riggs finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey LaJoie finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mason Massey finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey Heim finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Landen Lewis finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ty Majeski finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Ankrum finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brenden Queen finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Parker Eatmon finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin S Carroll finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stewart Friesen finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Rhodes finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tanner Gray finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Eckes finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Timmy Hill finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dawson Sutton finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Hemric finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cole Butcher finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shane Van Gisbergen finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Hall finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jake Garcia finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dystany Spurlock finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Derek Lemke finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caleb Costner finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kasey Kleyn finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kris Wright finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks based on their expectations for the race outcome. The current implied chance reflects the best available bid and ask prices, adjusted for market depth and recent trading activity, and can change by the minute as new data emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official race results, as recognized by governing authorities and major sports news outlets, will determine the winning driver and settle all positions in this market.
Key signals that could shift this market include driver qualifying performances, practice session incidents, weather forecasts for race day, pit crew announcements, and any last-minute changes in starting lineups. News about injuries, mechanical changes, or track conditions can also cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their expectations for who will lead the final laps.