TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Blackburn and Millwall. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for total goals scored in the Blackburn versus Millwall EFL Championship match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each threshold corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed the specified amount after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, with each progressively higher threshold representing a more stringent requirement for resolution. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action and public perception, while this market's pricing is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different goal totals. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of the event's potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly informative and efficient market.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the Blackburn vs Millwall match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the match, as officially recorded, will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout for their contracts following the match's completion and official confirmation of the score.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Blackburn or Millwall would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact the expected style of play and goal-scoring potential. Even pre-match team news, such as confirmed starting lineups or tactical formations, could shift trader sentiment. Any significant developments leading up to kickoff have the potential to alter expectations and drive price fluctuations in this market.