TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BITCH: First Week Pure Album Sales
kalshi

BITCH: First Week Pure Album Sales

Volume:
$5,810

Above 10K

 - Kalshi

Above 10K - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 10K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,182
N/A
N/A
$2,732
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 20K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,161
N/A
N/A
$688
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 30K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 50K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$283
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 60K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
$231
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 70K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$183
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 150K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 80K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 90K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 120K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 130K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 140K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Intro

This market tracks whether Lizzo's album BITCH will exceed 10,000 pure album sales during its first full tracking week from June 5–11, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 84.5%. Resolution will be determined by official pure album sales figures reported for that specific tracking week, with the market settling on June 14, 2026 once first-week sales data becomes available.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by pure album sales (product sales) for 'BITCH' by Lizzo during the June 5-11, 2026 U.S. tracking week. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome: above 10K, 20K, 30K, 40K, 50K, 60K, 70K, 80K, 90K, 100K, 110K, 120K, 130K, 140K, or 150K units. Data is sourced from Luminate Data, LLC, a neutral provider of music industry metrics. Resolution occurs on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate does not endorse or participate in prediction market outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time prediction market odds for whether Lizzo's album BITCH will achieve above 80,000 pure album sales during the June 5–11, 2026 tracking week on Kalshi. The display shows the current implied probability, historical price movement, and 24-hour trading volume of $327. You can monitor how traders are pricing the likelihood of this outcome as new chart performance data and industry reports emerge leading up to resolution.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader sentiment and aggregate information from music industry observers, chart analysts, and sales tracking services. While formal analyst forecasts for first-week pure sales are not always publicly released before chart week closes, prediction markets allow traders to price in expectations based on pre-order data, streaming momentum, and comparable album performance. This crowd-sourced approach often captures signals faster than traditional media consensus.

Key catalysts include pre-order volume announcements, streaming performance metrics on major platforms, radio airplay data, social media momentum, and any major promotional events or appearances by Lizzo. Chart tracking services often release intra-week sales estimates that traders monitor closely. Competitor album releases, chart positioning, and industry commentary on sales trajectories can also shift market odds as the tracking week approaches and unfolds.