TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 10K
- Kalshi
Above 10K - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 15, 2026
Closed: Jun 14, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Lizzo's album BITCH will accumulate more than 60,000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 5–11, 2026 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 95.0%. Album Equivalent Units combine album sales, track sales, and streaming activity into a single metric used by the music industry to measure commercial performance. Resolution will be determined by official chart data released following the June 5–11 tracking period, with settlement expected around June 14, 2026.
Kalshi
This event establishes tiered thresholds for BITCH's first-week Album Equivalent Units performance during the June 5-11, 2026 tracking week in the United States. Each threshold—ranging from above 10,000 AEU to above 150,000 AEU—represents a distinct market outcome. The underlying measurement methodology treats Album Equivalent Units as the standard industry metric combining physical sales, digital sales, and streaming activity. Resolution occurs on the Sunday immediately following the June 5-11, 2026 tracking week, with data sourced from Luminate Data, LLC, a neutral provider of market metrics that does not endorse or participate in prediction market outcomes. All markets within this event share identical resolution timing and data sourcing protocols.
Frequently asked questions
The market resolves on Jun 14, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Album Equivalent Units data for the June 5–11, 2026 tracking week. The outcome hinges on whether Lizzo's BITCH album reaches above 30,000 AEU during that specific seven-day period. Album Equivalent Units combine album sales, track sales, and streaming activity into a single metric used by the music industry to measure commercial success. Once tracking data is published and verified, the market settles accordingly.
Key catalysts include Lizzo's promotional activity, playlist placements on major streaming platforms, radio airplay, and social media momentum leading up to and during the June 5–11 tracking week. Chart performance of lead singles, any surprise features or collaborations, and broader music industry trends can shift trader expectations. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry chatter may also influence odds. Additionally, competing album releases that week or unexpected news about Lizzo could redirect listener attention and move the market price before the official tracking data closes the event.
