TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Birmingham Legion FC and New Mexico United will have its total goals counted after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Bets are placed on whether the total goals exceed various thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the professional USL Championship soccer game between Birmingham Legion FC and New Mexico United, scheduled for Sep 16, 2026. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from the goal count. Each market specifies a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), and if the total goals exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome of the Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, betting that over 1.5 goals will be scored, or sell 'no' contracts, betting against it. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment regarding the match.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United match—specifically, the total number of goals scored—will determine whether over 1.5 goals were scored. The resolution will be based on official match data from a recognized sports data provider, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Birmingham Legion or New Mexico United could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team tactics or formations could also move the market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available about the Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United match.