TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
Bets are placed on the margin of victory in the Birmingham Legion FC versus New Mexico United match, focusing on whether Birmingham wins by more than certain goal margins or New Mexico wins by more than certain margins.
These markets resolve based on the difference in goals between Birmingham Legion FC and New Mexico United in their professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Sep 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The first two markets require Birmingham Legion FC to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals respectively, while the last two require New Mexico United to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals respectively. If the specified condition is met for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team news, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Examining these differences can highlight areas where the market anticipates a different result than conventional wisdom suggests.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico match will be the determining factor, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual result matches the conditions outlined in the market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after official confirmation of the match outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations, causing the price to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.