TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 12:39 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Birmingham Legion FC and New Mexico United, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Birmingham Legion FC vs. New Mexico United match originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Birmingham Legion FC and New Mexico United, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Birmingham Legion FC vs. New Mexico United match originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular exact score is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, though discrepancies can occur.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score. The price of a share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and the overall flow of volume in this market, offering a dynamic view of expectations for the Birmingham Legion vs. New Mexico match.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Birmingham Legion vs. New Mexico match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score reported by official sources will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Birmingham Legion or New Mexico United would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they significantly impact playing conditions, could also affect the market. Additionally, pre-match analysis from soccer experts, team formations, and even unexpected tactical decisions during the match itself could all contribute to shifts in the odds as traders react to new information.