TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Birmingham Legion FC vs. New Mexico United
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Birmingham Legion FC vs. New Mexico United?

Volume:
$610,987

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 10:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$147,103
N/A
N/A
$68,641
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Birmingham Legion FC vs. New Mexico United)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico United

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$303,554
N/A
N/A
$131,440
Settled
No
polymarket

New Mexico United

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Birmingham Legion FC

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$145,424
N/A
N/A
$90,776
Settled
No
polymarket

Birmingham Legion FC

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer match between Birmingham Legion FC and New Mexico United on September 16, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution is stated slightly differently across platforms, with Polymarket providing more detail on postponement handling.Hero tip: The cancellation resolution is consistent, but Polymarket's description suggests a greater likelihood of markets remaining open during postponements. Monitor for updates if the game is delayed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled. If postponed, the market remains open until completion. Uses official statistics, Flashscore, and Sofascore as fallback sources.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled. Focuses solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between Birmingham Legion FC and New Mexico United.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Birmingham Legion FC vs New Mexico United professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Sep 16, 2026. If Birmingham Legion FC wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, that market resolves to Yes. If New Mexico United wins under the same conditions, their market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as per the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to more accurate predictions, as market participants have a direct financial incentive to be correct. However, sportsbooks often have earlier lines available and may offer different types of wagers not available in this market. It's useful to compare both to get a comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information regarding the USL Championship. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform tends to have more stable and potentially more accurate pricing. Furthermore, different platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions that influence trading behavior. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the same event.