TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
Birmingham Legion FC and Detroit City FC will compete in a USL Championship professional soccer match on July 2, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts that may occur.
This event covers the professional USL Championship soccer match between Birmingham Legion FC and Detroit City FC scheduled for July 2, 2026. Resolution is based on the final result after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: a win for Birmingham Legion FC, a win for Detroit City FC, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. Traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, which can make prediction market prices more responsive to new information. However, sportsbooks may incorporate sharper professional betting syndicates, so neither venue is universally more accurate—comparison depends on the specific event and timing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the probability implied by the most recent trades; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, and prices move accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays current and allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates determined entirely by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific result—whether it concerns the final score, winner, or another match detail—will be determined by the official match result. Once the event concludes and the outcome is clear from established sports news sources, the market will settle and traders' positions will be finalized based on the verified result.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions that affect playing strength. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any roster updates closer to match day can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking tactical adjustments may also influence perception of each team's chances. As the match date approaches, any official confirmations or contradictions of earlier reports will likely trigger repricing, so monitoring sports media and team communications is essential for staying ahead of market moves.