TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Birmingham City vs. FC Barcelona
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Birmingham City vs FC Barcelona?

Volume:
$10,795,476

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 4:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$975,066
N/A
N/A
$542,537
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Birmingham City vs. FC Barcelona)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$76,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barcelona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,464,427
N/A
N/A
$4,694,433
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Barcelona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$878,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Birmingham

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,210,232
N/A
N/A
$748,171
Settled
No
polymarket

Birmingham City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$190,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the possible outcomes of the professional Club Friendlies soccer match between Birmingham City and FC Barcelona scheduled for July 31, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability shows a leading outcome of 100.0%, with a secondary outcome at 0.1%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution provided by Flashscore. Watch the match on July 31, 2026, as this will determine the final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a single market that resolves Yes for any outcome (Birmingham win, Barcelona win, or draw) while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets each requiring a specific outcomeHero tip: Do not treat Kalshi's Yes as equivalent to any single Polymarket outcome. Kalshi's market resolves Yes regardless of which team wins or if the match ends in a draw, creating fundamental divergence in settlement logic

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: one for Birmingham win, one for draw, one for Barcelona win. Each resolves Yes only if that specific outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves Yes if Birmingham wins, Barcelona wins, OR the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves No only if the match is canceled with no makeup game
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, July 31, 2026 between Birmingham City and FC Barcelona.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Birmingham vs Barcelona professional Club Friendlies soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either team’s market occurs only if that specific team wins the match in regular time. If the match concludes with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes—including those from extra time or penalty shootouts—are considered for resolution purposes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this market is priced through user trades that respond quickly to news and sentiment shifts. Meanwhile, Kalshi may have different liquidity levels and user bases, leading to price variations. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Such divergences are common when market participation and information flow differ between platforms, especially for international matchups like this one.