TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC
Volume:
$143,843
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Birmingham City FC and Queens Park Rangers FC scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess whether QPR wins, Birmingham wins, or the match ends in a draw, all based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, expect Polymarket draw to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. For Kalshi, contact support immediately to clarify their cancellation protocol before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (QPR win, Birmingham win, draw). Win markets resolve No on cancellation; draw market resolves Yes on cancellation. This creates a logical inconsistency where cancellation produces conflicting outcomes across the same event. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
- Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets (QPR win, Birmingham win, tie) with no explicit cancellation clause. Resolution only addresses the three standard match outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Quote: 'If QPR wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for Birmingham and tie), with no mention of postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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