TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC
polymarket
kalshi

Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC

Volume:
$143,843

Birmingham City FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 3:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Birmingham City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Birmingham

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,249
N/A
N/A
$17,649
Settled
Yes
kalshi

QPR

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,720
N/A
N/A
$20,037
Settled
No
polymarket

Queens Park Rangers FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,577
N/A
N/A
$9,243
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,921
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Birmingham City FC and Queens Park Rangers FC scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess whether QPR wins, Birmingham wins, or the match ends in a draw, all based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero tip: Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, expect Polymarket draw to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. For Kalshi, contact support immediately to clarify their cancellation protocol before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (QPR win, Birmingham win, draw). Win markets resolve No on cancellation; draw market resolves Yes on cancellation. This creates a logical inconsistency where cancellation produces conflicting outcomes across the same event. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets (QPR win, Birmingham win, tie) with no explicit cancellation clause. Resolution only addresses the three standard match outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Quote: 'If QPR wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for Birmingham and tie), with no mention of postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.