Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 22, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official EFL Championship statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
The match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalties.
Preston North End FC wins market resolves YES if Preston wins; otherwise NO.
Birmingham City FC wins market resolves YES if Birmingham wins; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw; otherwise NO.
Exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Preston and Birmingham win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and the outcome is determined.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Preston win and Birmingham win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Extra Time and Penalties: Resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered for resolution purposes.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by the EFL or governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.