TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 206M
- Kalshi
Above 206M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 20, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jun 20, 2:21 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Billie Eilish's worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 12–18, 2026. Streaming data is collected from major platforms and published by Luminate Data, LLC, typically within 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Billie Eilish's total worldwide streams during the June 12–18, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. Each outcome corresponds to a specific threshold: the market resolves to Yes if streams exceed the designated level for that outcome. Data is finalized approximately 48 hours after the tracking week concludes. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral provider of streaming metrics and does not endorse or participate in market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and often incorporate real-time information faster than traditional analyst reports. While music industry analysts may publish periodic forecasts based on historical trends and label guidance, this market prices in live sentiment from participants actively trading on outcomes. Comparing the implied probability here to published analyst commentary can reveal where the crowd sees upside or downside relative to expert consensus, offering a useful cross-check for your own view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different streaming outcome ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects supply and demand; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower participation. Your entry and exit prices depend on the current order book, so monitoring depth and volume helps you execute at favorable levels.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once weekly streaming data is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on official streaming counts reported by major platforms or industry tracking services, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement. Once the reporting period closes and figures are finalized, the market will settle according to which outcome range the actual streams fall into.
Major catalysts include new music releases, chart debuts, viral moments on social media, and playlist placements on flagship streaming services. Award show performances, media appearances, and tour announcements can drive listener engagement and streaming volume. Additionally, broader music industry trends—such as shifts in listener behavior or platform algorithm changes—may influence weekly performance. Real-time streaming data leaks or early reports can also trigger sharp repricing as traders adjust positions ahead of official settlement.
