TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 206M
- Kalshi
Above 206M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 13, 2026
Closed: Jun 13, 4:01 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
An artist achieves various escalating thresholds of worldwide music streams during a tracking week in June 2026, with multiple conditions at increasingly higher stream levels.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Billie Eilish's total worldwide streams during the June 05 - June 11, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data. Each outcome threshold represents a specific streaming volume milestone, with resolution to Yes occurring if the artist exceeds the designated threshold for that particular outcome. Streaming data is sourced from Luminate Data, LLC, a neutral provider of market metrics, and is typically published within approximately 48 hours following the end of the tracking period.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Billie Eilish's weekly streaming outcomes. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, rely on expert opinion and historical trend analysis without financial incentive alignment. Market odds tend to incorporate breaking news and sentiment shifts faster than published analyst reports. Comparing Kalshi probabilities to music industry analyst predictions can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in factors analysts have overlooked, or vice versa.
On Kalshi, Billie Eilish: Weekly Streams is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting trader expectations of her weekly streaming volume or performance metrics. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move based on order flow, new information about her releases or chart performance, and broader music industry trends. Each outcome has a quoted price between 0 and 100 cents, with the spread between bid and ask reflecting market liquidity and uncertainty around the resolution criteria.
The Billie Eilish: Weekly Streams market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by official streaming data or performance metrics specified in the market's terms, which establish the exact threshold or ranking that settles each outcome. Traders should review the full market rules to understand which data source and time window apply, ensuring clarity on how the final result will be verified and confirmed.
Key catalysts include new music releases, chart debuts, or surprise album announcements that drive streaming surges. Major media appearances, award show performances, or viral social-media moments can spike listener engagement. Playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or YouTube also influence weekly totals. Competitor releases and broader music industry trends affect relative streaming share. Tour announcements or personal news may shift fan activity. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports can trigger rapid repricing on Kalshi.
