TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 3:32 AM EST
Kalshi
A pop and alternative artist will accumulate approximately 217.1 million worldwide streams during the May 29 - June 04, 2026 tracking week.
The market resolves at Jun 8, 2026. The outcome is determined by whether Billie Eilish has streamed—either on a platform like Twitch, YouTube, or Instagram Live, or via an official performance broadcast—during the specified week. Resolution hinges on verifiable evidence of a live stream occurring before the deadline, with the exact criteria defined in the market's official terms at the time of trading.
Several catalysts could shift odds for this event. An official announcement of a surprise stream or live performance would likely increase yes-outcome prices sharply. Conversely, news that Billie Eilish is unavailable, touring elsewhere, or focused on studio work might lower them. Social media hints, tour schedule updates, or statements from her team about upcoming appearances could also influence trader sentiment. As the week progresses and the deadline approaches, the absence of any stream announcement may gradually shift probability downward.