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Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of September 26
kalshi
polymarket

What song is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100?

Volume:
$13,122

Boston - Stella Lefty

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 5:52 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Boston - Stella Lefty

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boston

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,642
N/A
N/A
$2,392
13h 37m
Yes
polymarket

Be Her - Ella Langley

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

I Knew It, I Knew You

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
$459
13h 37m
No
polymarket

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Choosin' Texas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$302
13h 37m
No
polymarket

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

hate that i made you love me

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
13h 37m
No
polymarket

Been By Now - Morgan Wallen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Been By Now

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
kalshi

BbY WOW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
13h 37m
No
kalshi

9 to 5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
$97
13h 37m
No
kalshi

ORDINARY

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
13h 37m
No
kalshi

the cure

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
13h 37m
No
kalshi

Nicole Kidman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
13h 37m
No
kalshi

So Easy (To Fall In Love)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
kalshi

Man I Need

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
kalshi

Risk It All

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
kalshi

BE HER

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
kalshi

stupid song

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
kalshi

I Just Might

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
kalshi

Midnight Sun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
kalshi

Janice STFU

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
kalshi

BE BY YOU

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
13h 37m
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

This event group forecasts which song will be ranked #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 26, 2026. The chart reflects data from the preceding Friday-Thursday period and is published on Tuesdays. The markets allow for speculation on a variety of potential songs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers markets for specific songs, while Polymarket includes an 'Other' option, creating SKU risk and differing market granularity.Hero tip: Consider the 'Other' market on Polymarket if you believe a song not listed on Kalshi could reach #2. Focus on specific song probabilities on Kalshi if you have strong conviction about a listed artist.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets for individual songs *and* an 'Other' market. Resolves YES if the specified song is #2, or if 'Other' is selected and a song not listed on Polymarket is #2. "If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles."
  • Kalshi: Offers 30 individual markets, each resolving YES if *that specific song* is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 26, 2026. No 'Other' option is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified song ranks exactly #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 26, 2026. The markets cover multiple songs, each with its own resolution criterion. All markets explicitly state that Billboard has not endorsed these products, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement. The outcome for each market is binary—'Yes' if the song is ranked #2, and implicitly 'No' if it is not. The secondary rules across all markets reinforce that these are independent speculative instruments not connected to Billboard's official operations or rankings.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may rely on subjective factors like radio play or critical reception, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, as the market quickly incorporates new information and adjusts probabilities based on actual trading activity. The current volume of $13,122 suggests strong interest in this particular race, potentially indicating a level of confidence not always reflected in conventional music industry predictions.

Several events could significantly impact this market. Unexpected surges in streaming numbers, radio airplay, or social media engagement for any contender could shift probabilities. Major promotional events, like music video releases or high-profile performances, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding potential collaborations or remixes could introduce new variables. A sudden change in public opinion, reflected in trending topics and online discussions, could also lead to substantial movement in the volume of $13,122 and alter the odds for the Billboard Hot 100 race.