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410,482
Markets across
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events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Housewife - Tate McRae
- Polymarket
Housewife - Tate McRae - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 08d:06h:04m
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?
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Lies - Zach Bryan Featuring Lana Del Rey
Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan
Description
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of November 14, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Polymarket
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of November 14, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's important to note that analyst forecasts for this specific Billboard chart position are varied. Some music publications predict a strong showing for certain artists, while others suggest a more competitive landscape. This market allows for a different form of forecasting – a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach where traders put their money where their mouths are. Discrepancies between these forecasts and the odds on Polymarket can highlight potential areas where the market believes analysts may be over or underestimating a song’s chances.
This market resolves around Nov 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of November 14 is published and the #2 song is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official chart ranking published by Billboard, representing the most widely accepted measure of song popularity during that period. The market will then settle to reflect whether the predicted song held the #2 position.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Unexpected radio play, viral trends on social media platforms like TikTok, or major endorsements from influential artists could all shift public opinion and impact a song’s chart performance. Streaming numbers are also a key indicator, and a sudden surge in streams for a particular track could lead to increased trading activity on Polymarket. Any news regarding artist appearances or promotional activities related to the competing songs could also move the market.
