TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Boston - Stella Lefty
- Polymarket
Boston - Stella Lefty - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 24, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 24, 5:49 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This event group tracks which song will occupy the #2 position on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. Multiple markets across different platforms propose various songs as potential contenders for this ranking.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets resolve based on the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026, with consistent tie-breaking rules and contingency plans for delayed publications.Primary resolution logic: Official Billboard Hot 100 chart published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channelsCore resolution logic:
- The market resolves according to the song occupying the #2 position on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”
- Ties for positions will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles
- If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, markets will resolve to “Other” or equivalent outcomes
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Delayed Chart Publication: If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026 is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, markets will resolve to “Other” or equivalent outcomes
- Tie-Breaking: If two or more songs are tied for the #2 position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles
Polymarket
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified song ranks exactly #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. All markets explicitly state that Billboard has not endorsed these products, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement between Billboard and the market operator. The resolution hinges solely on the official Billboard Hot 100 ranking published for that week, with no additional conditions or qualifications affecting the outcome beyond the stated chart position requirement.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might have deeper volume from fans of a particular genre, skewing its odds. Additionally, distinct fee structures or market design choices can influence how traders place bets, leading to divergent implied probabilities even when tracking the same event. These factors combine to create unique pricing landscapes on each venue.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes, including last-minute song releases, viral social media moments, major playlist additions, or performance boosts from high-profile events like award shows or concerts. Streaming numbers released daily can also cause rapid changes in trader sentiment, especially if a contender surges unexpectedly. As the chart week approaches, any news about artist promotions or competitor setbacks may further sway the odds on this market.