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404,028

Markets across

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2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of September 19
kalshi
polymarket

Which album will be #1 on September 19?

Volume:
$28,123

Dandelion - Ella Langley

 - Polymarket

Dandelion - Ella Langley - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 7:37 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Dandelion - Ella Langley

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

DANDELION

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,069
N/A
N/A
$3,802
Settled
Yes
polymarket

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,023
N/A
N/A
$913
Settled
No
kalshi

PRIMA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,053
N/A
N/A
$724
Settled
No
polymarket

Don't Look Down - Rod Wave

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

DON'T LOOK DOWN

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
$406
Settled
No
polymarket

Ultimate Dolly Parton - Dolly Parton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$804
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ultimate Dolly Parton

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

THE SIN : BLISS - ENHYPEN

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

THE SIN : BLISS

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wildchild - Alex Warren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BLOOD OF YOUR EMPIRE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

I'm The Problem

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

WILD

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Great Divide

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

THIS & THAT

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

ICEMAN

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

petal

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

LONG WAY HOME

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Art of Loving

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lost Weekend

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stick Season

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

One Thing At A Time

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Album B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This group forecasts which album will be number one on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 19, 2026. The Billboard 200 ranks albums based on a combination of traditional album sales, track equivalent albums (TEA), and streaming equivalent albums (SEA).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lists a fixed set of 15 albums, while Polymarket lists 7 albums plus an 'Other' option, creating SKU risk and differing coverage of potential outcomes.Hero tip: Be aware of the 'Other' option on Polymarket, which represents any album not explicitly listed. This increases the likelihood of an unexpected outcome. On Kalshi, consider whether any unlisted albums have a realistic chance of reaching #1.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves YES if any of the listed 7 albums, or 'Another Album', is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 19, 2026. Includes a catch-all 'Other' option. "If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles."
  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if any of the listed 15 albums is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 19, 2026. No 'Other' option is present. "If THE SIN : BLISS is #1...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of September 19, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified album ranks #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 19, 2026. The markets cover multiple potential albums, each with its own distinct title. All markets explicitly state that neither Billboard nor any associated entities have endorsed these markets or affiliated with their creators. References to Billboard or its charts are used descriptively to indicate the ranking system being tracked, and do not imply any formal relationship or approval. The resolution hinges solely on the official Billboard 200 chart data for the specified week.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on subjective assessments and industry knowledge, this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to odds that are more responsive to real-time information and less prone to biases found in traditional analysis. The current pricing on Polymarket and Kalshi represents a dynamic assessment of probabilities, potentially offering insights beyond standard music industry predictions.