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406,422

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Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of September 12
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the Billboard 200 #1 album week of September 12?

Volume:
$8,486

Don't Look Down - Rod Wave

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 11:34 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Don't Look Down - Rod Wave

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

DON'T LOOK DOWN

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$868
N/A
N/A
$868
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ultimate Dolly Parton - Dolly Parton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ultimate Dolly Parton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
No
polymarket

Wildchild - Alex Warren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Petal - Ariana Grande

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

petal

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dandelion - Ella Langley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

DANDELION

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
polymarket

THE SIN : BLISS - ENHYPEN

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

THIS & THAT - Stray Kids

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

THIS & THAT

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Great Divide

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
No
kalshi

WILD

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

Lost Weekend

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

I'm The Problem

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

ICEMAN

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Art of Loving

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

NO ME ARREPIENTO DE SENTIR TANTO

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

One Thing At A Time

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stick Season

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thriller

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

ALL EYES ON SHIEST

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

This event group tracks whether specific albums will occupy the #1 position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. The markets span two platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket) with varying question structures but all referencing the same underlying chart data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve against the same official Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026, using identical ranking and tie-breaking rules.Primary resolution logic: Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or other official Billboard channels

Core resolution logic:

  • The album occupying the #1 position on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of September 12, 2026" determines resolution
  • Ties for any position are broken by alphabetical order of album titles
  • If the chart is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, markets resolve to "Other" (Polymarket) or equivalent

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie at #1: Alphabetical order of album titles determines the resolving album
  • Chart Delay: If Billboard fails to publish the chart within 14 days, markets resolve to "Other" (Polymarket) or equivalent
Timing: As soon as the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026 is officially publishedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of September 12, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Kalshi

The event determines whether any of the specified albums achieves the number one position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different album, and if the named album secures the top spot for that week, the respective market resolves to Yes. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that Billboard has not endorsed these markets and that any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, with no implied endorsement or affiliation between Billboard and the event organizer. The resolution hinges solely on the official Billboard 200 chart rankings published for the specified week.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Billboard 200 #1 album market tracks aggregated predictions across platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, showing how traders price the likelihood of different albums claiming the top spot for the week of September 12. It displays consensus views, volume of $8,486, and 24-hour volume of $325, letting users see where market sentiment sits as the release window approaches. This real-time view helps participants compare expectations against chart dynamics and spot shifts in betting patterns before the outcome is finalized.

Key signals that could shift this market include early sales data, streaming numbers on platforms like Spotify and Apple Music, social media buzz, and any last-minute promotional pushes from artists or labels. Major news such as a surprise chart-eligible re-release or a high-profile controversy could also cause rapid shifts. Traders will watch these indicators closely as they refine expectations for the September 12 chart battle.