TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Album C
- Polymarket
Album C - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 24, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 24, 1:26 PM EST
Polymarket
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo
Description
This event group tracks whether specific albums will occupy the #1 position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. The markets span two platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket) with varying levels of specificity regarding album titles and resolution criteria.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets resolve based on the same official Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, with consistent tie-breaking rules and default resolution conditions.Primary resolution logic: Billboard 200 chart published on Billboard's official website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channelsCore resolution logic:
- The #1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 29, 2026" determines resolution
- Ties for any position are broken by alphabetical order of album titles
- If the chart is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, Polymarket resolves to “Other”; Kalshi markets have no explicit fallback but would face resolution ambiguity
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Chart Publication Delay: If Billboard fails to publish the chart within 14 days, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi lacks an explicit fallback, creating potential resolution ambiguity
- Alphabetical Tie-Breaker: If two albums tie for #1, the alphabetically earlier title wins – e.g., 'Album A' beats 'Album B'
Polymarket
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 29, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified album ranks as the number one entry on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The focus is solely on chart performance for the designated week.