TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 4
Volume:
$397,775
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks which album will hold the #1 position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of April 4, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if any of ten specified albums (The Art Of Loving, The Romantic, Debi Tirar Mas Fotos, SOS, Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally., Cloud 9, The Life Of A Showgirl, Octane, I'm The Problem, or One Thing At A Time) occupies the #1 slot on that specific chart date. The market implicitly resolves to No if none of these albums rank #1.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses an inclusive list of 11 named albums that each individually resolve to YES, while Polymarket structures its markets as separate binary questions for each album candidate plus an 'other' catch-all. Both platforms reference the same underlying event (Billboard 200 #1 for week of April 4, 2026) and the same resolution source, but differ in market architecture and how they handle the mutually exclusive outcome.Hero Tip:
On Kalshi, exactly one of the 11 named albums will resolve YES; on Polymarket, you are betting on individual binary outcomes where only one album can be #1. If you hold positions across both platforms on the same album, outcomes will align, but Polymarket's 'other' option creates an additional resolution path not explicitly mirrored in Kalshi's structure. Verify which specific album you expect to win and check both platforms' odds before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi presents a single market with 11 mutually exclusive YES outcomes (one per named album: The Art Of Loving, The Romantic, Debi Tirar Mas Fotos, SOS, Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally., Cloud 9, The Life Of A Showgirl, Octane, I'm The Problem, One Thing At A Time, ARIRANG). The market resolves YES if any one of these albums is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart dated Week of April 4, 2026. No explicit 'other' or catch-all option is documented.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as 23 separate binary YES/NO markets, each asking whether a specific album (or 'another album') will be #1. Named albums include Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally., Mutiny After Midnight, Arirang, Octane, Unique, Debí Tirar Más Fotos, The Art of Loving, So Close to What, I'm the Problem, The Romantic, and others, plus a catch-all 'Will another album be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 4?' market. Resolution source is the official Billboard 200 chart published on https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/ or official Billboard channels, with a 14-day publication window before resolution to 'Other'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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