TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BIG vs. PARIVISION: Map 2
kalshi
limitless

What is the result of BIG vs. PARIVISION on Map 2?

Volume:
$43,350

PARIVISION

 - Kalshi

PARIVISION - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 6:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

PARIVISION

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,995
N/A
N/A
$12,064
Settled
Yes
limitless

Any playoff map to end with an 8+ round difference?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$50
$777
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BIG

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,578
N/A
N/A
$21,611
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group contains two fundamentally different markets that share only a surface-level connection to the same match. Kalshi's market resolves based on which team wins Map 2 of the BIG vs. PARIVISION match, while Limitless's market resolves based on whether any playoff map (across all matches) ends with an 8+ round difference. These are distinct settlement events with different scopes and criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction (both BIG win and PARIVISION win resolve to Yes), and the two platforms measure entirely different settlement events (team outcome vs. round differential across any map). These cannot be unified.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Limitless as separate, unrelated markets. Kalshi's market definition requires clarification or correction before it can be reliably settled. Limitless is independently resolvable via HLTV.org data. Do not assume they share a common outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if BIG wins Map 2 of BIG vs. PARIVISION (Jul 10, 2026, 4:00 AM EDT). Also resolves YES if PARIVISION wins Map 2. Logical contradiction: both outcomes map to YES, making the market definition incoherent. No clear NO condition is specified.
  • Limitless: Resolves YES if any map in XSE Pro League 2026 playoffs (Jul 9–12) ends with round difference of 8 or more (e.g., 13–5). Resolves NO otherwise. Primary source: HLTV.org playoff match statistics. Scope is all playoff maps, not specific to BIG vs. PARIVISION.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team wins map 2 of the XSE Pro League 2026: BIG vs. PARIVISION CS2 match scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. The winning team of map 2 determines the resolution outcome.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if any map in the XSE Pro League 2026 playoff stage ends with a round difference of 8 or more, as shown on HLTV.org. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, the round difference will be calculated using the final map score. For example, a 13–5 result qualifies, while a 13–6 result does not. XSE Pro League 2026 playoffs are currently scheduled for July 9–12, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV XSE Pro League 2026 playoff match statistics page: https://www.hltv.org/stats/matches?startDate=2026-07-09&endDate=2026-07-12&event=8914 Only maps completed with an official final score on HLTV will count toward this market. If XSE Pro League 2026 playoffs are canceled before they start, this market will resolve to "NO." If the relevant HLTV match or map statistics for the XSE Pro League 2026 playoffs are not available by July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If XSE Pro League 2026 playoffs are canceled after they start, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 31, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Instead of a bookmaker setting odds, traders themselves determine prices through buy and sell orders, which often reflect sharper, more dynamic information as new data emerges. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to manage liability, while prediction markets adjust through supply and demand. For esports matches, prediction market odds can sometimes lead sportsbook lines because traders react faster to roster changes, recent performance, and community sentiment.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and market structures. Kalshi's binary outcome design may concentrate traders on a single yes-or-no proposition, while Limitless's broader outcome set allows traders to express more granular views on round margins and match dynamics. Differences in trading fees, user interface, and promotional activity can also shift the marginal trader's behavior. These structural variations mean prices may converge or diverge depending on which outcome is being priced and how actively each platform's community is engaged.

Key catalysts include roster announcements or player substitutions, recent tournament results and form trends, and any official statements about map selection or match format changes. Injury reports or team practice footage can shift trader confidence significantly. Community sentiment on social media and esports forums often precedes price moves as traders react to narrative shifts. Closer to match day, warm-up match results and pre-game interviews may trigger final repricing. Real-time in-game events like early round wins or economic advantages will drive sharp moves once play begins.