TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dee Valladares
- Kalshi
Dee Valladares - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 25, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Will Dee Valladares will be eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before September 25, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives an 88.0% probability to Will Dee Valladares being eliminated before that date, with resolution determined by official announcements regarding contestant elimination from Big Brother Season 28. The market will resolve based on whether Taylor Brown is officially eliminated before the specified date, as determined by the show’s producers. Keep a close watch on the live eviction show scheduled for September 24, 2026, as the outcome of that event will likely determine the final resolution of this market.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if any listed contestant—Drew Campbell, Melody Morris, Taylor Brown, Rick Devens, or Dee Valladares—is officially eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before September 25, 2026. Elimination is confirmed through official program broadcasts, the show's website, verified social media accounts, or press releases. Eligible elimination methods include being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal. Multiple simultaneous eliminations are counted, and an initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns. However, eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode, temporary suspensions, medical holds, or being named runner-up in the finale do not qualify. If the season is canceled without declaring any eliminations, the market resolves to No. These markets are independent of each other, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. No endorsement from Big Brother is implied or stated.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often differ from those of traditional analysts and polls. While analysts might rely on social media sentiment or gameplay strategy, this market reflects what traders are willing to wager, providing a unique perspective. If analysts widely predict a certain houseguest will be eliminated, but the market odds show a lower probability, it suggests traders believe other factors are at play. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access or simply varying interpretations of the game dynamics, making this market a valuable counterpoint to conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, each houseguest being eliminated. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the potential eviction scenarios.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will reflect which houseguest was eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 during Week 11, as officially announced on the show. The resolution will be based on the official results broadcast and reported by reliable news sources covering the show. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the actual elimination result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected alliances forming or breaking within the house, a houseguest winning a crucial Head of Household or Power of Veto competition, or even a dramatic argument could all shift trader sentiment. Any news or rumors regarding potential targets for elimination, whether from live feeds or reliable sources, will likely cause price fluctuations. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media trends, could also influence the market, though to a lesser extent than in-game events.
