TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 8:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Enrico Dalla Valle in Biella will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Biella: Completed Match: Pavel Lagutin vs Enrico Dalla Valle”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET, as that will be the initial indicator of whether the match proceeds as planned and can be completed.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Enrico Dalla Valle in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Enrico Dalla Valle. This market will resolve to 'Enrico Dalla Valle' if Enrico Dalla Valle advances against Pavel Lagutin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant information emerges or as the event draws closer and more traders participate. Comparing the two can reveal interesting insights into public and expert opinions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lagutin vs Dalla Valle match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome happening, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lagutin vs Dalla Valle match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the final result and ensure a smooth resolution process.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches for either Pavel Lagutin or Enrico Dalla Valle could shift the odds. Major upsets in related sporting events, or even significant weather conditions impacting the match, could also influence trader sentiment. Public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely winner may also contribute to price movements within this market.