TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Alejo Sanchez Quilez. This market will resolve to 'Alejo Sanchez Quilez' if Alejo Sanchez Quilez advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Alejo Sanchez Quilez. This market will resolve to 'Alejo Sanchez Quilez' if Alejo Sanchez Quilez advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability of an event occurring, especially when new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting outlets. Examining these differences can be valuable when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Biella tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Alejo Sanchez Quilez. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning player. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Oriol Roca Batalla or Alejo Sanchez Quilez could also impact the market. Furthermore, general tennis news, weather forecasts for Biella, and even significant shifts in overall betting trends could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in probability.