TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Giovanni Oradini in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Giovanni Oradini. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Giovanni Oradini in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Giovanni Oradini. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant difference, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and can lead to varying assessments of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Biella tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1, where $1 represents a 100% probability.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Biella tennis match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.