TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Cruz Martin Manzano and Michele Mecarelli in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Cruz Martin Manzano' if Juan Cruz Martin Manzano advances against Michele Mecarelli. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Juan Cruz Martin Manzano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Cruz Martin Manzano and Michele Mecarelli in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Cruz Martin Manzano' if Juan Cruz Martin Manzano advances against Michele Mecarelli. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Juan Cruz Martin Manzano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to build in a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently or that there's a strong conviction about a particular result. It’s a useful comparison to see where public opinion and expert analysis align or disagree.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Biella tennis match between Juan Cruz Martin Manzano and Michele Mecarelli. The platform will verify the result against established tennis authorities and publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning outcome shares.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Biella could also play a role, potentially affecting the players' performance. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market as the event approaches.