TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 6:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Clarke and Petr Brunclik in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Petr Brunclik. This market will resolve to 'Petr Brunclik' if Petr Brunclik advances against Jay Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Clarke and Petr Brunclik in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Petr Brunclik. This market will resolve to 'Petr Brunclik' if Petr Brunclik advances against Jay Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when public opinion strongly favors one result, or when there's significant uncertainty surrounding the event. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into market perceptions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Clarke vs Brunclik match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome’s probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy shares of a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The current volume indicates active participation and a developing consensus.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Clarke vs Brunclik match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which player won the match, as officially recorded by the relevant tennis authorities. Resolution will occur shortly after the official result is available, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations and lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.