TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 12:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Clarke and Felix Gill in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Felix Gill. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Jay Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Clarke and Felix Gill in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Felix Gill. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Jay Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Clarke vs Gill match. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Clarke vs Gill match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Clarke vs Gill match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will then determine which outcome—a win for Clarke or a win for Gill—was the correct prediction. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome based on real-world events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Jay Clarke or Felix Gill’s preparation or physical condition would likely have an impact. Furthermore, general tennis news or upsets in other matches could indirectly affect the perceived probabilities within this market, leading to fluctuations in trading volume and price.