TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Izan Almazan Valiente and Gianmarco Ferrari in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Gianmarco Ferrari. This market will resolve to 'Gianmarco Ferrari' if Gianmarco Ferrari advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Izan Almazan Valiente and Gianmarco Ferrari in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Gianmarco Ferrari. This market will resolve to 'Gianmarco Ferrari' if Gianmarco Ferrari advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's potential outcomes. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Almazan vs Ferrari match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match could significantly shift market sentiment. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz can also play a role in driving price movements. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly impact the perceived probabilities of the Almazan vs Ferrari match outcome, creating trading opportunities.