TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Izan Almazan Valiente and Franco Agamenone in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Franco Agamenone. This market will resolve to 'Franco Agamenone' if Franco Agamenone advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Izan Almazan Valiente and Franco Agamenone in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Franco Agamenone. This market will resolve to 'Franco Agamenone' if Franco Agamenone advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispriced outcomes that sportsbooks overlook. These differences arise from the varying information sources and incentives driving each type of market. Analyzing the contrast between the two can reveal potential value opportunities for traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to the latest developments and insights surrounding the Almazan vs Agamenone match.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Almazan vs Agamenone match, as reported by the governing tennis body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor the official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in preceding matches, or even weather forecasts affecting the court surface, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.