TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giuseppe La Vela and Stefano D`Agostino in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against Stefano D`Agostino. This market will resolve to 'Stefano D`Agostino' if Stefano D`Agostino advances against Giuseppe La Vela. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giuseppe La Vela and Stefano D`Agostino in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against Stefano D`Agostino. This market will resolve to 'Stefano D`Agostino' if Stefano D`Agostino advances against Giuseppe La Vela. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks primarily focus on implied probabilities based on statistical models and public betting patterns, this market incorporates a wider range of information and collective intelligence from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on factors like candidate momentum, debate performance, and local political dynamics. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the race.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant electoral authorities in Biella, Italy, following the mayoral election. The candidate who receives the most votes will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final vote count to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Sep 20, 2026. Major events like televised debates, significant endorsements from influential figures, or the release of new polling data could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected scandals or controversies involving either candidate could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, changes in voter turnout expectations, particularly among key demographic groups, could alter the perceived likelihood of each candidate's success and therefore move the market.