TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giuseppe La Vela and Federico Iannaccone in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against Federico Iannaccone. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Giuseppe La Vela. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giuseppe La Vela and Federico Iannaccone in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against Federico Iannaccone. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Giuseppe La Vela. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It's interesting to compare the probabilities implied by this market with those offered by traditional sportsbooks or polling data. Often, prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than traditional sources, potentially leading to different assessments of the likely winner. While polls capture a snapshot of current sentiment, this market reflects what people are willing to *bet* will happen, which can be a more revealing indicator. Discrepancies may arise due to differing methodologies and the incentives of participants in each system.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant electoral authorities for the Biella mayoral election. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official count will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Major endorsements from influential political figures, significant policy announcements from the candidates, or unexpected developments in the local economy could all shift perceptions of each candidate's chances. Public opinion polls released before the election will also likely have an impact, as will any major campaign gaffes or controversies. Any news that alters the perceived likelihood of either candidate winning could lead to substantial changes in this market.