TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 8:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Lock/Lock and Covato/Voelzke in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lock/Lock' if the team of Lock/Lock advances against Covato/Voelzke. This market will resolve to 'Covato/Voelzke' if the team of Covato/Voelzke advances against Lock/Lock. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Lock/Lock and Covato/Voelzke in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lock/Lock' if the team of Lock/Lock advances against Covato/Voelzke. This market will resolve to 'Covato/Voelzke' if the team of Covato/Voelzke advances against Lock/Lock. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant difference emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the true likelihood of an outcome or differing levels of information available to each group. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes aggregate information more efficiently, leading to more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly evolving based on new information and changing sentiment regarding the Biella doubles match. The current price reflects what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular result.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Biella doubles match, as reported by the tournament organizers. The winning pair will be determined according to standard tennis scoring rules. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match schedules could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances from either Lock/Lock or Covato/Voelzke in other matches, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause noticeable price movements, reflecting shifts in market confidence.