TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 8:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlo Alberto Caniato and Izan Almazan Valiente in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlo Alberto Caniato and Izan Almazan Valiente in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a large number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can express that view in this market, potentially driving the price away from the sportsbook’s offering. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly differs from expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a particular result in the Caniato vs Almazan match.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Caniato vs Almazan match, as reported by the governing sports body. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Sep 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness, or even public statements from analysts, could also lead to significant price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to be reflected in the trading activity of this market.