TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 6:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Marti Pujolras and Dimitris Sakellaridis in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Marti Pujolras' if Alex Marti Pujolras advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Alex Marti Pujolras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Marti Pujolras and Dimitris Sakellaridis in the Biella, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Marti Pujolras' if Alex Marti Pujolras advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Alex Marti Pujolras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market may show a different probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money flows into either market, as differing information and analytical approaches are applied to the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, dynamically adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their forecasts. This creates a constantly evolving assessment of the potential results of the Biella match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Biella match, as reported by a trusted source for sports results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The exact payout will depend on the trading activity leading up to resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to the match itself could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could also drive price movements. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the match could also play a role. As the event draws closer, any new information will be rapidly incorporated into the market price, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders.