TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 9:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Barrena and Juan Martin in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Juan Martin. This market will resolve to 'Juan Martin' if Juan Martin advances against Alex Barrena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Barrena and Juan Martin in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Juan Martin. This market will resolve to 'Juan Martin' if Juan Martin advances against Alex Barrena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, reflecting differing levels of information and biases among bettors and market participants. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Barrena vs Martin match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, or if the match was completed as scheduled. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about either player’s form or fitness would likely have a substantial impact. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis matches could also affect trader sentiment and, consequently, the price action in this market.