TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 8:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Pavel Lagutin in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Pavel Lagutin in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the true likelihood of an outcome. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the event’s potential results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, meaning the price of shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders buy 'yes' shares if they believe the outcome will occur and 'no' shares if they believe it won't. As more people buy 'yes' shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alejandro Moro Canas vs Pavel Lagutin match. The platform will look to established sports news sources and official tournament results to determine the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will lose their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or even pre-match interviews with the players could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket can create momentum and cause significant price swings as traders react to the new information or perceived sentiment.