TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 110M
- Kalshi
Above 110M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Closed: Jul 4, 2:31 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
These markets track Beyoncé's total worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 26 - July 02, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution based on official data from Luminate Data, LLC, typically published within 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Beyoncé's total worldwide streams during the June 26 - July 02, 2026 tracking week as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. Each market resolves to Yes if the artist's streams exceed a specific threshold: 110M, 111M, 112M, 113M, 114M, 115M, 116M, 117M, 118M, 119M, or 120M streams respectively. Stream count data is based on the official tracking week period and may be published up to approximately 48 hours following the week's conclusion. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse, verify, or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like this one aggregate real-money bets from many participants, often producing forecasts that differ meaningfully from traditional analyst predictions. While music industry analysts may rely on historical trends and label guidance, traders here incorporate breaking news, social media momentum, and chart performance in real time. This market's odds reflect collective belief across many independent decision-makers, which can sometimes outpace or diverge from published expert estimates, especially when new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different streaming outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread tightens as volume increases, and prices move dynamically based on supply and demand. Participants can enter limit or market orders to express their view on whether weekly streams will fall into specific ranges, with the market price at any moment reflecting the marginal trader's conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on actual weekly streaming data for the specified period, measured against the outcome ranges defined at market creation. Once the relevant data is published and verified, the market settles automatically, and traders' positions are credited or debited according to which outcome occurred.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly. A surprise album announcement or unexpected release would likely spike streaming projections upward. Chart debuts, viral moments on social media, or major playlist placements could amplify weekly stream counts. Conversely, competing releases from other major artists or shifts in listener behavior might dampen expectations. Industry news, award show performances, or touring announcements could also influence market sentiment as traders reassess streaming potential.
