TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on the margin of victory for either team in a Europa League soccer match scheduled for August 13, 2026, between Besiktas and Hradec Kralove. The outcomes depend on how many goals each team wins by during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets collectively determine whether the match outcome meets specific goal-difference thresholds for either team during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Besiktas wins by more than 2.5 goals, Besiktas wins by more than 1.5 goals, Hradec Kralove wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Hradec Kralove wins by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based strictly on the final score after regular time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible spread outcomes. The current top chance reflects the probability traders assign to each result, influenced by recent trading volume of $38,550. Prices adjust instantly to new bets, capturing shifts in sentiment as the match date nears. This decentralized mechanism allows for rapid price discovery unique to Kalshi.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final regulation-time point differential will determine which side of the spread is correct, and the market will settle accordingly based on official match records. Timing aligns closely with the conclusion of the live event.
Injuries to key players, weather updates affecting play conditions, and strategic changes by coaches can all shift expectations for the match’s point differential, moving this market. Additionally, strong recent performances by either team, media narratives, or betting trends on Kalshi may influence trader sentiment. As the event draws closer, any news impacting team strength or motivation could cause notable price swings.