TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Serbian SuperLiga between Beograd and Radnicki Kragujevac. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Markets will resolve based on whether Beograd wins, Radnicki Kragujevac wins, or the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Beograd vs Radnicki Kragujevac professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the regular time result, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true probability of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in response to changing circumstances. The platform facilitates this process by matching buyers and sellers and ensuring a transparent and efficient marketplace.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Serbian basketball match between Beograd and Radnicki Kragujevac, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could affect the result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or team performance could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams could also shift expectations. Furthermore, major announcements related to the league schedule or venue changes could impact the perceived probabilities. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates on these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements and making informed trading decisions.