TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:47 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Ben Shelton and Denis Shapovalov, scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Ben Shelton vs. Denis Shapovalov match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Ben Shelton and Denis Shapovalov, scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Ben Shelton vs. Denis Shapovalov match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying mispriced outcomes. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities, with this market sometimes offering more favorable odds for certain results compared to conventional betting options, depending on the information available to traders.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Shelton vs. Shapovalov match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score of the match, as determined by official tournament records, will be the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Any potential delays in official reporting could impact the resolution timeline, but the final result will be based on the officially recorded score.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic intentions, might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential traders could create short-term price movements, reflecting a sudden change in perceived probabilities.