TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 5:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored by both teams during the second half of the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup match on July 1, 2026. Bettors predict whether combined second-half goals will exceed various thresholds.
All outcomes measure combined goals scored during the second half of the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026. Each outcome resolves to Yes if second-half goals exceed its specified threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals. Only goals scored during the second half (after the 45-minute mark plus any associated stoppage time) count toward resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster than traditional sportsbooks, sometimes offering sharper or more efficient pricing. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where traders and bookmakers disagree on the second-half scoring total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcome ranges for the second-half total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share has a price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the market's collective probability estimate. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand. This continuous pricing model ensures that the odds you see reflect the latest consensus among active participants on how many goals will be scored in the second half.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the Belgium-Senegal match concludes and the second-half goal total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final count of goals scored from the start of the second half through the end of regular time. Once the result is confirmed and the market settles, traders' positions are paid out according to whether their prediction matched the verified total. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess scoring potential. Early match momentum, particularly goals or near-misses in the first half, often triggers repricing as traders update their expectations for the second-half pace. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and red cards can alter how aggressively either side plays in the second half. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into one side can also move prices quickly. Real-time commentary and live match developments will be the primary catalysts driving this market until resolution.