TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 5:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Belgium will score more than 0.5 goals during regulation time in their FIFA World Cup matchup against Senegal. On Kalshi, the probability that Belgium scores above 0.5 goals stands at 99.0%, based on resolution from the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Watch the July 1, 2026 kickoff to see whether Belgium's attacking performance meets this threshold during the regulation period.
All markets resolve based on official goals scored during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) of the Belgium vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026. Extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team records more than the stated goal threshold. Own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal by official match records. Resolution is determined by the final regulation-time score only.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus—real money is at stake, creating strong incentives for accuracy. Prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information more efficiently, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing the Belgium vs Senegal matchup more bullishly or bearishly than the betting industry consensus, offering insight into where smart money may be positioning itself.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks, and the market price reflects the last executed trade. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders holding shares profit if their prediction proves correct at resolution, creating a direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. The continuous two-sided market ensures liquidity and allows participants to enter or exit positions throughout the trading window. As new developments emerge—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—the price adjusts dynamically to reflect updated expectations for regulation time performance.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the Belgium vs Senegal match concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on the final regulation time team total, confirmed through official match records and reputable sports reporting. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure they understand how the outcome will be determined. Early closure or postponement could affect timing, so staying informed through official channels is essential for all participants.
Several catalysts could shift this market significantly before Jul 1, 2026. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp repricing. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and betting syndicates can sway trader sentiment. Head-to-head historical performance and recent form updates may prompt position adjustments. Weather conditions and venue factors announced closer to kickoff can influence expectations. Additionally, major betting action or unusual volume spikes sometimes signal informed traders positioning ahead of the match. Monitoring sports media, official team announcements, and market depth will help traders anticipate and react to these shifting dynamics.