TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group contains 370 player prop markets for the Belgium vs. Senegal FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets cover individual player performance metrics including goals, assists, shots, shots on target, and saves across both Polymarket and Predict platforms. All markets are scoped to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts.
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price player props using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management; prediction markets let traders set prices through supply and demand. Because prediction markets aggregate real-time belief from many participants, they often reflect emerging information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. However, sportsbooks may incorporate sharper professional input or proprietary data. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal mispricings, especially as game time approaches and new team news breaks. Both venues offer value at different times depending on liquidity, market efficiency, and how quickly each reacts to shifting conditions.
Polymarket and Predict can show different odds on the same player prop for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites, so pricing reflects local supply and demand rather than a unified global truth. Timing lags mean one venue may update faster than the other when news breaks. Trading fees, minimum order sizes, and platform-specific incentives also influence where volume concentrates. Additionally, each platform's user base may have distinct information or analytical edges. Monitoring both venues simultaneously helps you identify when one is mispriced relative to the other, creating opportunities to trade the spread before convergence.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff—can dramatically reprrice player props. A key defender's absence might boost attacking player odds, while a striker's injury could tank goal-scoring markets. Weather conditions and pitch quality also influence performance thresholds. Real-time momentum during the match itself drives repricing as traders react to early chances, fouls, or substitutions. Betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one side can signal conviction and move odds sharply. Media narratives and social media sentiment occasionally trigger retail volume spikes. Monitoring team news feeds, official roster announcements, and live match commentary helps you anticipate and capitalize on these moves before they fully price in.