TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market group tracks the total goals scored in the Belgium vs. Senegal FIFA World Cup match, including over/under totals for combined and individual team scoring, spread markets, and first-half outcomes. Across Predict and Polymarket, the leading outcome—Over 2.5 goals—currently stands at 100.0%. All markets resolve based on the official final score published on fifa.com, with credible reporting consensus as a secondary source if official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch the match on July 1 at 4:00 PM ET for the final goal tally that will settle these markets.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.
Prediction markets like those featured here operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Traders buy and sell shares directly, so odds reflect live consensus rather than a bookmaker's margin. This market typically shows tighter spreads and faster price discovery than traditional sportsbooks, especially during high-volume trading windows. However, sportsbooks may offer better liquidity on mainstream bets. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether the prediction community is pricing outcomes more optimistically or conservatively than professional oddsmakers.
Polymarket and Predict serve different trader bases and operate under distinct rule sets, creating natural price divergence. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's liquidity, fee structure, and user demographics influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one platform prices a first-half goal or spread outcome significantly higher or lower than the other. Monitoring both venues helps you spot mispricings and understand whether consensus is truly forming or if platform-specific factors are driving the gap.
Team news, injury reports, and lineup announcements typically trigger sharp price moves in this market. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often position ahead of official team sheets, so watch for sudden volume spikes or odds shifts in the hours before kickoff. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form can also influence trader sentiment. Historical head-to-head records and player-level performance data may drive longer-term positioning. Monitor both platforms for diverging reactions to breaking news, as arbitrageurs will quickly exploit any pricing gaps.