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Belgium vs Senegal: Goalscorer
kalshi

Belgium vs Senegal: Goalscorer

Volume:
$4,869,996

Ismaila Sarr: 1+

 - Kalshi

Ismaila Sarr: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ismaila Sarr: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$697,120
N/A
N/A
$519,852
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Romelu Lukaku: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$458,585
N/A
N/A
$408,153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Youri Tielemans: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$76,559
N/A
N/A
$52,024
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Youri Tielemans: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$58,032
N/A
N/A
$47,256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Habib Diarra: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,168
N/A
N/A
$29,762
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leandro Trossard: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$554,296
N/A
N/A
$434,352
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$476,441
N/A
N/A
$442,317
Settled
No
kalshi

Ismaila Sarr: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$454,693
N/A
N/A
$332,647
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremy Doku: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$401,722
N/A
N/A
$363,948
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles De Ketelaere: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$268,710
N/A
N/A
$243,150
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin De Bruyne: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$263,128
N/A
N/A
$261,814
Settled
No
kalshi

Sadio Mane: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$243,486
N/A
N/A
$197,563
Settled
No
kalshi

Leandro Trossard: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$238,340
N/A
N/A
$230,181
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremy Doku: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111,153
N/A
N/A
$108,941
Settled
No
kalshi

Nicolas Jackson: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84,912
N/A
N/A
$60,923
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles De Ketelaere: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74,182
N/A
N/A
$71,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Pape Gueye: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70,173
N/A
N/A
$64,713
Settled
No
kalshi

Idrissa Gana Gueye: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,870
N/A
N/A
$44,319
Settled
No
kalshi

Sadio Mane: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,824
N/A
N/A
$42,321
Settled
No
kalshi

Dodi Lukebakio: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,252
N/A
N/A
$27,516
Settled
No
kalshi

Habib Diarra: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,040
N/A
N/A
$19,608
Settled
No
kalshi

Iliman Ndiaye: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,030
N/A
N/A
$15,845
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Mechele: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,206
N/A
N/A
$13,984
Settled
No
kalshi

Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,469
N/A
N/A
$13,988
Settled
No
kalshi

Timothy Castagne: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,085
N/A
N/A
$13,597
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Senegal forward Ismaila Sarr will score at least two goals during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup match. The leading outcome, Sarr scoring 1+ goals, currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records of all goals scored during regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods in the match scheduled for July 1, 2026. Bettors should monitor Sarr's form and playing time leading up to the July 1, 2026 match date, as his selection and fitness will be critical indicators of goal-scoring likelihood.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records at least the stated threshold of goals during the entire Belgium vs Senegal match (regulation, stoppage, and any extra time). If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles at the last fair price before kickoff. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by their actual goal count throughout the match.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Belgium vs Senegal goalscorer market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for individual player goalscorer outcomes in this matchup. The interface displays current market prices, historical price charts, and 24-hour trading volume to help traders monitor sentiment and liquidity. This dashboard lets you compare the implied probability of each player scoring against live odds, giving you a snapshot of how the market is pricing each goalscorer option as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly for less-obvious goalscorer outcomes. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and retail traders disagree, potentially highlighting value opportunities or consensus blind spots.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each goalscorer outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of active traders about that player's probability of scoring. As new information emerges—team lineups, injury reports, or betting patterns—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. This mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to market sentiment throughout the trading window.

This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the Belgium vs Senegal match concludes and the final goalscorer data is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which players actually score during the match. Contracts for correct goalscorers pay out in full, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on official match confirmation and any necessary review of disputed goals.

Key catalysts include official team lineups and starting XI announcements, which can dramatically shift odds for featured players. Injury updates or late roster changes alter expectations for key scorers. Pre-match analysis from credible sports media and expert predictions may influence trader positioning. Betting patterns and sharp money flowing into specific outcomes can signal informed conviction. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and tactical previews closer to kickoff also tend to drive repricing as traders refine their forecasts.